
\begin{table}
\caption{Regression estimates of the association between prior foreign aid (using aid commitment volumes from AidData) and CPA implementation at the post-CPA year level. Implementation scores range from 2 to 95. See text for detailed description of estimators.}
\begin{center}
\begin{scriptsize}
\begin{tabular}{l D{.}{.}{5.3} D{.}{.}{3.3} D{.}{.}{3.3}}
\toprule
 & \multicolumn{1}{c}{Within-Between random effects for post-conflict periods} & \multicolumn{1}{c}{Prais-Winsten FGLS with conflict-specific AR(1) autocorrelation and PCSEs} & \multicolumn{1}{c}{Country fixed effects and robust SEs} \\
\midrule
OECD Foreign aid commitments (within effect)    & 4.43^{*}   &            &            \\
                                                & (1.72)     &            &            \\
OECD Foreign aid commitments (between effect)   & 27.92      &            &            \\
                                                & (16.91)    &            &            \\
OECD Foreign aid commitments (composite effect) &            & 1.54       & 4.37^{*}   \\
                                                &            & (1.76)     & (1.96)     \\
Years since conflict (logged)                   & 15.40^{*}  & 15.61^{*}  & 16.60^{*}  \\
                                                & (0.95)     & (0.73)     & (1.62)     \\
Transitional power sharing government           & 0.22       & -5.54      & 30.30^{*}  \\
                                                & (10.72)    & (4.83)     & (7.70)     \\
Dispute resolution committee                    & 20.91      & 10.82^{*}  &            \\
                                                & (10.76)    & (3.13)     &            \\
Female signatories                              & 9.58       & 14.91^{*}  &            \\
                                                & (19.46)    & (5.34)     &            \\
Conflict duration (logged)                      & -0.33      & -1.78      & -50.29^{*} \\
                                                & (4.68)     & (2.02)     & (4.29)     \\
Battle deaths during conflict (logged)          & -1.06      & 3.14^{*}   &            \\
                                                & (4.06)     & (1.25)     &            \\
Territorial conflict                            & -9.29      & -11.21^{*} &            \\
                                                & (15.53)    & (5.25)     &            \\
Years with mediation  (logged)                  & 0.82       & -4.18      & -61.04^{*} \\
                                                & (11.99)    & (4.25)     & (5.93)     \\
New leader since CPA                            & -0.09      & -0.26      & 0.10       \\
                                                & (1.97)     & (1.98)     & (2.37)     \\
Population (logged)                             & 3.87       & 0.94       & -9.61      \\
                                                & (7.05)     & (4.14)     & (14.32)    \\
GDP (IHS transformation, lagged)                & -11.58^{*} & 0.90       & -13.67^{*} \\
                                                & (3.20)     & (3.83)     & (3.53)     \\
Economic growth                                 & 0.09       & -0.03      & 0.09       \\
                                                & (0.09)     & (0.09)     & (0.09)     \\
Excluded population                             & 0.63       & -5.11      & -0.67      \\
                                                & (4.30)     & (4.09)     & (5.06)     \\
Natural resources                               & -16.98     & -10.80^{*} &            \\
                                                & (14.35)    & (2.70)     &            \\
Democracy                                       & 1.10       & 0.61       & 0.79       \\
                                                & (2.14)     & (2.41)     & (2.46)     \\
GDP per capita before conflict (logged)         & 19.26^{*}  & 2.88       &            \\
                                                & (7.01)     & (4.17)     &            \\
Civil war in neighboring country                & -4.62^{*}  & -3.02^{*}  & -4.57^{*}  \\
                                                & (1.42)     & (1.34)     & (1.72)     \\
Foreign policy similarity with US               & 3.65       & 13.28      & 1.96       \\
                                                & (8.39)     & (6.83)     & (7.23)     \\
UN PKO personnel (logged)                       & 0.10       & 0.30       & 0.07       \\
                                                & (0.23)     & (0.19)     & (0.30)     \\
Region fixed effects (baseline: East Asia)      &            &            &            \\
                                                &            &            &            \\
\quad Europe & Central Asia                     & -24.02     & -9.66      &            \\
                                                & (20.45)    & (6.43)     &            \\
\quad Latin America & Caribbean                 & -34.87     & -18.17^{*} &            \\
                                                & (31.61)    & (7.20)     &            \\
\quad Middle East & North Africa                & -48.25     & -19.72     &            \\
                                                & (27.96)    & (14.00)    &            \\
\quad South Asia                                & -14.80     & -26.88^{*} &            \\
                                                & (30.85)    & (11.50)    &            \\
\quad Sub-Saharan Africa                        & -24.61     & -10.82     &            \\
                                                & (16.18)    & (6.12)     &            \\
Intercept                                       & 135.85     & 1.33       &            \\
                                                & (87.87)    & (24.98)    &            \\
\midrule
AIC                                             & 2276.81    &            &            \\
BIC                                             & 2390.14    &            &            \\
Log Likelihood                                  & -1108.41   &            &            \\
Num. obs.                                       & 323        & 323        & 323        \\
Num. groups: pam\_caseid                        & 34         &            &            \\
Num. groups: pam\_year\_count                   & 10         &            &            \\
Var: pam\_caseid (Intercept)                    & 449.11     &            &            \\
Var: pam\_year\_count (Intercept)               & 0.00       &            &            \\
Var: Residual                                   & 57.53      &            &            \\
R$^2$                                           &            & 0.83       & 0.90       \\
Num. groups                                     &            & 34         &            \\
Adj. R$^2$                                      &            &            & 0.88       \\
RMSE                                            &            &            & 7.56       \\
\bottomrule
\multicolumn{4}{l}{\tiny{Standard errors in parentheses. $^* p < 0.05$ (two-tailed test).}}
\end{tabular}
\end{scriptsize}
\label{tab:m_aidd_comm_r3}
\end{center}
\end{table}
